Nations Weather

     Weather has been predicted to be very sever this year, this weather is believed to move through the middle portion of the country by the end of this weeks due to the development of the two low pressure systems.

     The first low pressure system is expected to begin the day just north of the North Dakota before moving northeastward toward the Hudson Bay. The cold front, that is associated with a storm would remain draped from states like Oklahoma through the upper Midwest. Due to this weather, rain is forecast to fall along these fronts, the heaviest precipitation is expected over the mid states.

    The second low pressure system is expected to develop by Friday in the afternoon and evening as it moves out to the Southern Rockies and into the Southern plains. Colorado Rockies should be able to receive some snow throughout the day as the storm moves to the east.

    Furthermore, a Pacific cold front is also expected to appear into the Northwest by this weekend. This front will be bringing rain and high elevation snow for states such as Washington and Oregon. The Northeast is expected to have high temperatures of 40s and 50s. However, the Southeast should be able to see temperatures in the 70s and 80s.

    With is sever weather, areas such as Iowa to Wisconsin will experience a snowfall, as the storm that has already brought snow to the parts of the West. The snow is expected to fall by Saturday morning across part of the northern Iowa than streak to the eastern Wisconsin. The snow should end by early Sunday morning, the cold snow however, will remain. Its best that the citizens know that the snow will not go away all at once.

    This weekend is bringing more autumn bliss for most people in the East, but the winter is catching up early this year.

http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/41408/east-beautiful-weekend-weather-1.asp

 

Tropical Depression Tomas

As the Island of Haiti is still recovering from the divesting earthquake back in January of 2010, they are now under a hurricane threat. The government had already issued a warning and had all the victims of the earthquake at the refuge camps advised to seek safety at any homes they can find.

             However, with the recent updates on the tropical storm/ depression Tomas, the NHC has now given the people of Haiti some relief. They have said that Tomas was just a disorganized tropical depression as of Wednesday forecasters don’t expect it to regain hurricane force. The storm winds are about 35 miles per hour and was about 390 miles southwest of Port-au-Price, Haiti, and moving west- northwest at about 6 miles per hour.

Hurricanes can be very unpredictable unfortunately.  There is a brief increase in wind shear over Tomas is the suspected culprit behind the weakening trend. However, shear is expected to weaken soon. With the lighter wind shear the atmospheric conditions should be ideal for Tomas to begin strengthen by tonight. The forecast still calls for Tomas to become a tropical storm, by Thursday night or Friday. Tomas should gradually turn toward the northwest today and toward the north tonight and Thursday. On the current forecast path Tomas could pass close to Jamaica Thursday night and Friday morning. For that reason a tropical storm watch is in effect for Jamaica. Tomas is forecast to pass over western Haiti later Friday and Friday night as a tropical storm; Tomas is predicated to  bring heavy rainfall, flooding and mud slides to Jamaica, Haiti and the Dominican Republic Thursday through at least Saturday. This would be particularly devastating to Haiti.

The Storm has already killed 14 people and left seven missing in the eastern Caribbean nation of St. Lucia.  

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/weather/hurricane/

As the storm in the Midwest makes its history we must not forget the hurricanes. As of Tuesday tropical storm Shary has formed in the Atlantic basin. This tropical is located about 350 miles of Island of Bermuda. The top winds are about 40 mph. A tropical storm watch is effect.

Tropical Storm Shary is expected to turn toward the north and slow in forward speed on Friday, followed by a turn to the northeast on Friday night. This track brings the center of the storm near or over Bermuda late on Friday.

The system is stationary in areas of low pressure located about 1200 miles to the northwest of the Verde Islands. The system has the wind shears and may not develop right away. It is believed that the system will remain nearly stationary for a while. And it may begin to drift to the west or northwest by Friday. It must be noted that at this point this system is not yet a threat to the land.

The third system is very well developed, it is located in South America. The winds at 15 to 20 mph are moving toward the west and northwest.

An atmospheric conditions are and will be developing tropical wave. There is believe that this wave has the possibility to to develop an area of low pressure and become a tropical cyclone before it reaches the Windward Island this weekend. This should not be taken lightly, everyone should be on the watch for this system over the weekend.

As the tropical storm in the South America develops in to a hurricane, Okinawa, Japan gets a visit from the Typhoon Chaba yesterday. This typhoon is expected to continue moving northeastward toward main Japanese Islands. It appears that top winds in Chaba could be 60 to 65 mph as it approaches Japan but the highest winds should stay offshore. Parts of Honshu Island could see some heavy rains.

http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/

Unusual Severe activities

Unusual Severe activities

As we enter the fall season, the Southwest of United States is getting showers and thunderstorms accompany an upper level low. Some of the thunderstorms could become severe producing hail, damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes in eastern New Mexico. The heavy downpours from these storms could possibly produce flooding in States such as; Arizona, New Mexico, Southern Colorado, South Utah, and possibly Nevada. According to the lead meteorologist, Kevin Roth from the weather channel all of this could happen as soon as October 21.

We could see the storm moving into the southern plains by Friday and leaving a light rain and some mountain snow showers in Colorado, Utah and eastern part of Nevada. Palin States like Texas should see some severe weather to go across it.

Oregon and Southern California are also victims of this new storm. These to states will be getting some showers later today and these showers should spread northward along the coast to Washington and Inland to the Cascade and northern Sierra- Nevada by tonight.

The temperatures on the Southwestern part of United States is expected to be around mid 60s and 70s for the entire regain with the exception of western part of Arizona and eastern California is believed to be in the low 80s .

Tonight the storms are expected to shift the eastward reaching central Oklahoma and central Texas by Friday morning. The storms should not be severe after midnight. Temperatures might be in the lower to middle 70s in eastern Tennessee, western North Carolina, far northern Georgia and western Texas.

Most of the Northeast part of the country is expected a cold front and drops through the region bringing a lot of showers. And colder air will be moving behind the cold front and changing the rain over to snow in the mountains of Northern New York and northern New England. The remainder of the region should be dry ad with some clouds. The temperatures are expected to be in the Mid 40s and lower 50s.

The Midwest part of the country has some colder air blowing in from Canada and this air will pick up some moisture as it comes across the Great lakes and deposits it in the form of showers in Michigan Ohio. There is no snow for those states. The Isolated thunderstorms might move into southwestern Kansas very late by this afternoon as a storm system moves through the southern Rocky Mountains. During the evening and overnight tonight the thunderstorms should expand into all of southern Kansas with showers moving into northern Kansas.

The remainder of the region is enjoying a sunny to partly cloudy and mild day. The temperatures for this part of the country will/expected to be in low and mid 60s and 70s. As always these are only predictions the weather could change on us at any given minute; but, it’s always a good/smart idea to prepare for the worse. We should be able to see these changes in our weather anywhere from 24 to 48 hours.

http://www.weather.com/newscenter/nationalforecast/index.html

Hurricane Paula

Even though the hurricane season is almost over we will see at least few more hurricanes before the end of November. A recent hurricane that was spotted in the tip of Mexico’s Yucatan peninsula and the west of Cuba, the winds were 100 mph as of this past Tuesday. The hurricane known as Paula, centered at about 85 miles southeast of Mexico according to the National Hurricane Center. Paula is looked at as a small but very powerful hurricane. Hurricane paula tipped the scale in to a hurricane strength earlier today and was intensified very quickly to a category 2 storm.

Hurricane warning are in effect for the coast of Mexico from the Punta Gruesa north to the Cabo catche including the Cuban province of Pinar del Rio. According to the National Hurricane Center, hurricane Paula should be strengthening by Thursday and will be weakened after that.  

            The Hurricane Center described Paula as "small," given that its hurricane-force winds extend outward only up to 15 miles (30 kilometers) from the center and tropical strength-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 kilometers).

            Hurricane Paula is predicted to drop about three to six inches of rain over the eastern portion of the Yucatan Peninsula. Also, it is predicated that in some isolated areas the maximum amount rain will be about ten inches. This would or will cause a flash floods and mudslides.

        My advice to the people that live in the mentioned locations to this the hurricane Paula seriously and prepare for it appropriately; even though, the National Hurricane center has predicted this hurricane to be small, the size could change at any given point. So educate one another and make sure that there is enough food saved up for a few days.

            From the prediction that the center has this hurricane will not reach the united states but the state like Florida might experience strong winds and gusts and rain.  

http://www.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/americas/10/12/tropical.weather/index.html

On my first blog I had mentioned that the scientists were on a mission to study hurricanes. Their goals were to be find an answer to some of the most fundamental yet still unanswered questions of hurricane science. Questions such as: What ultimately causes hurricanes to form? Why do some tropical depressions become strong hurricanes, while others fritter away? What causes the rapid strengthening often seen in hurricanes? 

Even though that this year hurricanes were not as severe as they were predicated to be, the scientist still got a chance to study the once we did have.

            The mission was to capture data on hurricanes as they formed and intensified. The DC-8, WB-57 and Global Hawk, got the chance to fly over hurricane Earl four times, criss-crossing the storm as it intensify  from category one to a category four hurricane, until it got weakened. On the last day or the list fly over hurricane Earl, as the storm was breaking down and losing strength, the Global Hawk made its debut hurricane flight and passed over Earl's eye in concert with the DC-8, providing valuable comparison measurements for the instruments on-board both aircraft. Scientists were very pleased with the Global Hawk over the hurricane.

           The GRIP planes were also able to fly to tropical systems such as Gaston that were forecast to strengthen and become hurricanes but in the end did not. In the search to understand why some tropical depressions become hurricanes and others don't, these were also important flights. Scientists, who had worked very hard during this research, will spend years to finally get all of the questions about hurricanes answered. The observations that were made will provide an insight with great value to meteorologists. This study will benefit from more accurate forecasts of storm strength and development.

            In short, with this project the scientists have gathered enough information to fully understand hurricanes; but it will take them maybe years before they are fully done with the research and have all the questions answered and provide the society a better understanding about hurricanes and why they form.

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/11/071129183753.htm

  

What's in a Hurricane's Name?

 Have you ever wondered where Hurricanes get their names from? Long go storms were given the names of the saints, old military phonetic alphabet names (i.e., Able, Baker, Charlie, etc.) or even just Euro-American women's names. Nowadays storms can be nicknamed not just Danielle, Laura and Teresa, but Norbert, Kiko, Omeka, Lekima or Krovanh -- to name a few formally selected by a selections on lists maintained by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).

            In the old days, the storms such as hurricanes were born and had to struck the land and make their damage, and if they were memorable enough in a heartbreaking way than they were named. For example, the “The Storm of the ‘48’’ or the “San Felipe of 1876,” these were the storms that were named because they were very memorable in a tragic way.

            About six decades a go no one really had ever seen or knew much about the hurricane’s cyclopean face or the space; people used to hurricanes names that most are blinded to know the movements of the hurricanes until its usually too late. The weather satellites and the forecasting tools have made it possible to track storms; because of this fast developing technology meteorologists can give proper names to hurricanes and make hurricane warning usually before the hurricanes touches the land. As I had mentioned in the previous blogs that meteorologists and other researchers are in the Atlantic Ocean tracking hurricanes; this would not have happened if it wasn’t for the technology that we have today.

            The first official proposal to name the hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean was just right after the World War II. And that name was a military alphabet approach; it was then dropped in the 1950s in the favor of women’s names. In 1979, it was decided that the names of men and women would alternate on the alphabetical list.

            There were a lot more lists, the two list the at most Americans were familiar covered the Atlantic and the East Pacific. However, there are also lists with culturally appropriate names that cover the Central North Pacific, Western North Pacific, Australian Region, Fiji Region, Papua New Guinea Region, Philippine Region, Northern and Southern Indian Ocean.

The Atlantic and East Pacific lists each have six lists of 21 alphabetical names (excluding letters Q, U, X, Y and Z), which are recycled every six years, unless a storm is so awful that its name is retired -- like Katrina, for instance. There will never be another Hurricane Katrina, Camille, Andrew, Ike or Paloma.

"Any member can request that a name be removed if there is extensive damage and/or deaths caused by a named tropical cyclone," said meteorologist Max Mayfield,

The members of the hurricane committee then simply vote on any names nominated; this process usually take a long time before the committee agree on the name change and give the hurricane the appropriate name.

This system of naming the hurricanes seemed to be working as of now; however, the question about naming the hurricane after humans comes up often and meteorologists and hurricanes specialists are often asked if naming the storm after humans is the best approach.  


http://news.discovery.com/earth/hurricane-names-storms.html